Integración monetaria en Sudamérica: elección de candidatos a través del aprendizaje automático no supervisado

Palabras clave:

áreas monetarias óptimas, uniones monetarias, América del sur, aprendizaje automático no supervisado, análisis clúster

Resumen

Resumen Aplicando técnicas de Aprendizaje Automático no Supervisado para un conjunto de variables nominales (señaladas por la teoría de las áreas monetarias óptimas [OCA] y los criterios del Tratado de Maastricht) e indicadores industriales (basados en patrones de producción similares), este documento tiene como objetivo identificar candidatos potenciales para una integración en Sudamérica (SA). La principal conclusión es que, según el agrupamiento de los indicadores nominales e industriales, los países en mejor posición para una hipotética integración monetaria en SA son Chile, Colombia y Perú (y Ecuador en menor medida). Este grupo de economías, pertenecientes a la Alianza del Pacífico, se encuentran en mejores condiciones para cumplir con diversos criterios de integración monetaria regional, como la convergencia nominal y patrones productivos similares.

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Biografía del autor/a

León Padilla, Universidad de las Américas Quito-Ecuador

Profesor Titular 

Centro de Investigaciones Económicas y Empresariales

Citas

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Publicado
2022-06-16
Cómo citar
Padilla, L., & Marín, E. (2022). Integración monetaria en Sudamérica: elección de candidatos a través del aprendizaje automático no supervisado. Revista de Economía Mundial, (61), 63-89. https://doi.org/10.33776/rem.v0i61.5155
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Sección General