Sectoral Impacts of the Activity Standstill due to External Shocks such as COV ID-19: An Approach Based on the Hypothetical Extraction Applied to the External Insertion of the Spanish Economy

Hugo Campos-Romero, Óscar Rodil-Marzábal

Resumen


La pandemia del COVID-19 ha provocado una paralización de la actividad económica sin precedentes en la historia reciente. El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar el impacto económico y sectorial potencial resultante de la suspensión de determinadas actividades. Los métodos empleados son el análisis de los encadenamientos productivos y el método de extracción hipotética, tomando como referencia las relaciones comerciales de España con la UE, EE. UU. y China en 2015. Los resultados obtenidos en base a cuatro posibles escenarios muestran un descenso del PIB debido a la parálisis de determinados sectores, revelando la existencia de importantes encadenamientos productivos a través de las Cadenas Globales de Valor.


Palabras clave


encadenamientos productivos; paralización de actividad; Cadenas Globales de Valor; COVID-19; economía española.

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Referencias


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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.33776/rem.v0i56.4861

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